Thursday, January 10, 2008

NFL Playoff predictions week 2

I went 3-1 during the Wild Card round only losing on Pittsburgh but I did say it was going to be a close game. Not to pat myself on the back but I also corrected predicted the final score of the NY Giants-Tampa Bay game (check last week's entry).

This week the folks that had bye's are not back on the field. Here's how they breakdown:

AFC Divisional Round

Saturday, Jan. 12
Jacksonville at New England, 8 p.m. ET (CBS)
Yes, I realize I had Pittsburgh in this game last week but actually think the Jacksonville has a better chance than them to spring the upset (I know that logic doesn't make any sense but I didn't think I was going to have to use it). For Jacksonville to win, they need to control the ball for 38-40 minutes with Fred Jackson and Maurice Jones-Drew. The way to beat the Patriots is to keep their offense off the field and wear down their old LB's. As much as I hate NE this is not the week that they blow their perfect although if the weather is crappy and QB Tom Brady can't toss 50 passes this could be a backyard brawl. I really want to pick Jacksonville but I think New England gets by, barely, 24-21.

Sunday, Jan. 13
San Diego at Indianapolis, 1 p.m. ET (CBS)
I was extremely unimpressed with San Diego last week. They barely beat the Titans who had a rash of injuries and the guys that did get on the field were pretty dinged up. They waste a lot of their talent. TE Antonio Gates will be out for the game so that should make QB Philip Rivers look mediocore. The Colts get WR Marvin Harrison back this week and have had a week to rest up everyone else. QB Peyton Manning will not make the same mistakes he did when they played in SD earlier this season. Manning throws four TD's and the Colts runaway, 41-17.

NFC Divisional Round

Saturday, Jan. 12
Seattle at Green Bay, 4:30 p.m. ET (FOX)
The site of the famous coin toss with Seattle QB Matt Hasselbeck saying they will take the ball and win only to throw an interception that was returned for a TD a few years back. Seattle coach Mike Holmegren will have the 'hawks ready but the Pakcers and QB Bret Favre don't lose much on their home turf. Farve still has his old coaches number and with temps to be around freezing, GB all the way 28-17.

Sunday, Jan. 13
New York Giants at Dallas, 4:30 p.m., ET (FOX)
The Dallas players ran amuck in the off week which makes me skeptical about their focus. The Giants looked great last week, but Dallas will not suffer the same playoff mistake as they did last season and QB Tony Romo will ask Jessica Simpson to watch at home. Eli Manning comes back down to earth, throwing a few picks, Dallas 31-20.

These are the same picks from week one without any changes:
AFC, NFC championships: Sunday, Jan. 20
Indianapolis at New England, TBA (CBS)
If the Patriots are going to lose in the playoffs, this is the day. New England will have the mother of all snow storms haulting the Pats potent passing game. Indy RB Joseph Addai becomes the star running the Colts back into the Super Bowl as he tears up NE's aging LB corps, Indy in a squeaker 28-24.

Green Bay at Dallas, TBA (FOX)
Dallas beat GB in the regular season but in Favre's possible swan song (I know we say that every year) he rises to the occasion with one of his biggest games of his career carrying the young Pack on his back to the Super Bowl, 31-28.

Super Bowl XLII: Sunday, Feb. 3, 6 p.m.,
University of Phoenix Stadium (Glendale, Ariz.)
Green Bay vs. Indianapolis
Both Manning and Favre looking for their second SB title. In the warm weather, this turns into an old western shootout as Favre gets the last laugh with a late TD pass to Greg Jennings to seal a 38-35 victory.

Call me crazy for this not ending in a Patriots perfect season but karma says the Pats can't possibly run the table. Besides, the '72 Dolphins slipped me a few bucks to get them knocked out!

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